Research

Looking Under the Hood: How LLMs Attempt Political Persuasion and Microtargeting

Alex Lyman, Ethan C. Busby, Lisa P. Argyle, Joshua R. Gubler, David Wingate

Chinese Political Science Review

Government Performance and Support for Democracy in Spain

Darren Hawkins, Joshua R. Gubler, Celeste Beesley, Tayla Ingles, Julia Chatterly

Research and Politics, 12(4)

Arti-'fickle' Intelligence: Using LLMs as a Tool for Inference in the Political and Social Sciences

Lisa P. Argyle, Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, Bryce Hepner, Alex Lyman, David Wingate

Nature Computational Science, 5(9): 737–744

Balancing Large Language Model Alignment and Algorithmic Fidelity in Social Science Research

Alex Lyman, Bryce Hepner, Lisa P. Argyle, Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, David Wingate

Sociological Methods and Research, 54(3): 1110–1155

Testing Theories of Political Persuasion Using Artificial Intelligence

Lisa P. Argyle, Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, Alex Lyman, Justin Olcott, Jackson Pond, David Wingate

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), 122(18)

Leveraging Artificial Intelligence for Democratic Discourse: Chat Interventions Can Improve Online Political Conversations at Scale

Lisa P. Argyle, Christopher A. Bail, Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, Thomas Howe, Christopher Rytting, Taylor Sorensen, David Wingate

Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences (PNAS), 120(41)

Out of One, Many: Using Language Models to Simulate Human Samples

Lisa P. Argyle, Ethan C. Busby, Nancy Fulda, Joshua R. Gubler, Christopher Rytting, David Wingate

Political Analysis, 31(3): 337–351

Changing Hearts and Minds? Why Media Messages Designed to Foster Empathy Often Fail

Joshua R. Gubler, Christopher Karpowitz, J. Quin Monson, David Romney, Mikle South

The Journal of Politics, 84(4): 2156–2171

Motives Don't Matter? Motive Attribution and Counter-Terror Policy

Daphna Canetti, Joshua R. Gubler, Thomas Zeitzoff

Political Psychology, 42(3): 483–499

Framing and Blame Attribution in Populist Rhetoric

Ethan C. Busby, Joshua R. Gubler, Kirk A. Hawkins

The Journal of Politics, 81(2): 616–630

Toward Conflict or Compromise? How Violent Metaphors Polarize Partisan Attitudes

Nathan P. Kalmoe, Joshua R. Gubler, David A. Wood

Political Communication, 35(3): 333–352

Violence, Aggression, and Ethics: The Link Between Exposure to Human Violence and Unethical Behavior

Joshua R. Gubler, Skye Herrick, Richard A. Price, David A. Wood

Journal of Business Ethics, 147(1): 25–34

Violent Rhetoric in Protracted Group Conflicts: Experimental Evidence from Israel and India

Joshua R. Gubler, Nathan P. Kalmoe

Political Research Quarterly, 68(4): 651–664

Humanizing the Outgroup in Contexts of Protracted Intergroup Conflict

Joshua R. Gubler, Eran Halperin, Gilad Hirschberger

Journal of Experimental Political Science, 2(1): 36–46

Them's Fightin' Words: The Effects of Violent Rhetoric on Ethical Decision Making in Business

Joshua R. Gubler, Nathan P. Kalmoe, David A. Wood

Journal of Business Ethics, 130(3): 705–716

Does the State Promote Communal Violence for Electoral Reasons?

Ashutosh Varshney, Joshua R. Gubler

India Review, 11(3): 191–199

Horizontal Inequality, Crosscutting Cleavages, and Civil War

Joshua R. Gubler, Joel S. Selway

Journal of Conflict Resolution, 56(2): 206–232

Reproduction of Hierarchy? A Social Network Analysis of the American Law Professoriate

Daniel Katz, Joshua R. Gubler, Jon Zelner, Michael Bommarito, Eric Provins, Eitan Ingall

Journal of Legal Education, 61(1): 76–103

Considering the Political Consequences of Comparative Politics Experiments

Joel S. Selway, Joshua R. Gubler

In Scott Desposato, ed. Ethics and Experiments: Problems and Solutions for Social Scientists and Policy Professionals. New York: Routledge, 2016, pp. 171–182

Sparks and Fires: The State and Civil Society in Communal Violence

Ashutosh Varshney, Joshua R. Gubler

In Atul Kohli and Prerna Singh, eds. Routledge Handbook of Indian Politics. New York: Routledge, 2013, pp. 155–166

Towards Coding Social Science Datasets with Language Models

Christopher Michael Rytting, Taylor Sorensen, Lisa Argyle, Ethan Busby, Nancy Fulda, Joshua Gubler, David Wingate

arXiv:2306.02177

Crosscutting Cleavages and Ethno-Communal Violence: Evidence from Indonesia in the Post-Suharto Era

Joshua R. Gubler, Ashutosh Varshney, Joel S. Selway

UNU-WIDER Working Paper 2016/129

Review of The Contradictions of Israeli Citizenship: Land, Religion, and State (Guy Ben-Porat and Brian Turner, eds.)

Joshua R. Gubler

International Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, 44: 847–848, 2012

The Sound of Persuasion: Disentangling Voice, Gender, and Role Congruity with Generative AI

Lisa Argyle, Ethan Busby, Parker Davis, Bryce Hepner, Joshua R. Gubler, Chris Karpowitz, Alex Lyman, Justin Olcott, Jessica Preece, David Wingate

The Crayola Effect: Towards More Correctly Modeling the Impact of Self-Reported Emotions

Joshua R. Gubler, Caleb Leach

Model Mixed Affect

Joshua R. Gubler, Chris Karpowitz